The global minimum tax (GMT) is an agreement that was reached by G7 countries in June 2021 to combat multinational corporations shifting profits to countries with lower tax rates. It will come into effect on January 1, 2024, with the participation of 141 countries.

Under the resolution, multinationals with total consolidated revenues of €750 million (about $800 million) or more within two of four consecutive years will be subject to a minimum tax rate of 15 per cent.

KB Securities Vietnam (KBSV) feels that the new mechanism raises concerns about reducing Vietnam's attractiveness to foreign investment, as tax exemptions or reductions are a key factor in attracting FDI flows.

It believes applying the GMT is necessary in the current context, but Vietnam should also consider adopting other supportive policies in addition to improving the business environment in terms of labour, infrastructure, administrative procedures, and more.

The National Assembly continues to meet to discuss appropriate policies, and it is likely that these will be introduced in the foreseeable future.

Moving forward, Vietnam should remain an attractive destination for FDI, given its low-cost labour, favourable geographical location, free trade agreements, and a stable political system. Accordingly, FDI inflows into Vietnam should further support economic growth in the coming years, and will also act as a growth driver for industrial park developers, according to KBSV.

According to a report by Maybank Vietnam, foreign investments may cool next year, with a 15 per cent effective corporate tax rate imposed from January 1 as part of the GMT reform. About 122 foreign companies will face a significant increase in their tax bill, with a large amount shouldered by Samsung.

The estimated additional revenue of VND14.6 trillion ($601 million) annually could be used to bolster other investment incentives, but there remain concerns around the violation of global rules and legal complications with companies that do not qualify.

A draft plan published by the Ministry of Investment in August proposed that only high-tech companies with at least VND12 trillion ($495 million) of investment should benefit from cash subsidies to cover other costs, including training, research, and infrastructure. The exact measures will only be finalised next year.

FDI has maintained its increasing momentum and stands as a bright spot as international investment and trade decline, showing the confidence of foreign investors in the Vietnamese market.

Realised FDI from January to November rose by 2.9 per cent from a year ago to hit $20.3 billion, which marks a five-year-high. FDI registrations surged by 14.8 per cent on-year over the first 11 months, with a 40 per cent hike in the manufacturing sector.

By Thanh Van

Source: VIR

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